As the 2023-24 NBA regular season approaches its final stretch on April 12, the battle for position in the upcoming draft lottery is reaching a critical stage. We are providing ongoing coverage of the league's landscape, examining updated lottery odds, remaining schedules, and the specific stakes for the teams positioned at the bottom of the standings.
The Race for the Top Lottery Odds
Several teams are actively vying for a bottom-three finish, which guarantees the highest mathematical probability of securing the No. 1 overall pick.
- Washington Wizards (17-59): Holding a 14% chance at the top pick, the Wizards need to maintain a bottom-three record. A critical note: their pick is owed to the New York Knicks if it falls outside the top 8.
- Brooklyn Nets (18-58): Tied with Washington for top lottery odds (14%), Brooklyn is locked in a tight race to secure their positioning.
- Indiana Pacers (18-58): Also holding a 14% chance at the No. 1 pick, the Pacers face a major condition regarding their future. Should their selection land between 5 and 9 on lottery night, it will be transferred to the Los Angeles Clippers as part of a previous trade.
Monitoring the Rest of the Pack
Other franchises are managing varied strategic objectives as the season winds down:
The Utah Jazz (21-56, 10.5% odds) are aiming for a bottom-three spot, but they must be cautious, as their pick is owed to the Oklahoma City Thunder if it falls outside the top 8. Meanwhile, the Dallas Mavericks (24-52, 9% odds) are similarly fighting for top-tier odds but face limited flexibility regarding their future draft assets.
Some teams, such as the New Orleans Pelicans (25-51), find themselves in a unique position. Despite their low standing, they have no incentive to lose, as their unprotected first-round pick is slated to go to the Atlanta Hawks.
Play-In Contenders and Final Games
Several teams in the bottom half of this tracker remain in the hunt for the postseason via the play-in tournament, which alters their approach to these final games:
The Golden State Warriors, Portland Trail Blazers, Miami Heat, and Orlando Magic are all currently maneuvering through the final games of the season while simultaneously managing their standing within the play-in tournament landscape.
With just over a week remaining in the regular season, every game carries significant weight for front-office calculations and draft positioning. We will continue to track these developments as the season reaches its climax.
